Author
Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner
Philip Tetlock is an American psychologist and professor at the University of Pennsylvania who has studied the accuracy of forecasts for many years, and a co-founder of the Good Judgment Project. Dan Gardner is a Canadian journalist and the author of books on risk and prediction.
Books in Livria
- Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Why do famous experts predict the future no better than chance, while retirees and engineers beat intelligence analysts? Philip Tetlock spent twenty years checking forecasts, then ran a tournament where thousands of…