Term
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The first number or impression a person starts from when making an estimate, and then usually moves away from too little.
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner
Explained in
- Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner
- Tiny Habits: The Small Changes That Change Everything, BJ Fogg
Something you already do every day, after which you do the new habit. A term from Fogg’s method.
- Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions, Dan Ariely
An initial number or impression that someone may use as a starting point for evaluation, even if it is random.
